JPMorgan has significantly revised its outlook on Tesla, upgrading the stock from underweight to neutral and raising its price target from $145 to $475. This change, announced on June 5, 2026, by new analyst Rajat Gupta, follows a long-standing bearish stance from the bank under former analyst Ryan Brinkman. Gupta's new target suggests a potential upside of approximately 13% from Tesla's closing price of $418.45 the previous day.
The upgrade coincided with JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's invitation to Elon Musk to discuss SpaceX's planned IPO at the bank's Reagan National Economic Forum. Gupta emphasized Tesla's unique position in the physical AI sector, highlighting its vertical integration across hardware and software as a competitive advantage. He forecasts Tesla's revenue could soar to $203 billion by 2030, driven by advancements in robotaxi services, the Optimus humanoid robot, and Full Self-Driving licensing.
Despite the upgrade, Tesla shares fell by about 6.6% on the day of the announcement, reflecting ongoing concerns about execution risks in new markets and the need for regulatory approvals for its ambitious projects. Gupta's cautious approach is evident in his decision not to issue a buy rating, acknowledging the uncertainties surrounding Tesla's future developments.
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