SpaceX Stock Faces Tesla-Style Crash Fears as $3 Trillion Valuation Sparks Debate
SpaceX's stock is facing potential crash warnings just days after its record-setting debut on the Nasdaq, which occurred on June 12, 2026. The company raised approximately $75 billion, making it the largest IPO in history and pushing its valuation close to $3 trillion. This rapid rise has drawn comparisons to Tesla's volatile initial public offering in 2010, leading to a divided response among market analysts. Some predict a significant correction as selling pressure mounts, while others believe the limited public float could sustain elevated prices for an extended period. As of now, SpaceX shares have surged to around $213.95, reflecting a 56% increase since the opening price of $135. Analysts like Ted Pillows warn that the stock's trajectory mirrors Tesla's early performance, which saw substantial initial gains followed by sharp declines. Investor Jo Bhakdi anticipates downward pressure starting in August due to the thin float and high valuation relative to projected revenue. Conversely, some experts argue that the scarcity of shares, coupled with strong demand, could prevent a crash. Investment adviser Thierry Borgeat noted that the current market dynamics favor buyers, as the number of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holding SpaceX stock has surged from four to around 120 in just days. The true test for SpaceX will come in August when early lock-up expirations may increase supply, but until then, the stock is likely to be influenced more by market sentiment than by fundamental valuations.
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